top of page
Search

Kempton analysis and one at Wolverhampton, they're all based on value verses chance. Small chances at prices. Obviously moyowasi is short in the market. Be lucky everyone 👍

Wolverhampton


8.00 phoenix beach, has a poor draw which I don't love and kieren O'Neil rides woolridge so I'd say has chosen him over phoenix but he's well handicapped and apparently was well punted last time out when things didn't pan out for him, he started slowly for one that likes to be reasonably prominent and beaumadier went screaming off and made all and he ultimately finished 3rd looking as if he was coming into form. That was in a 0-70 class 5 too so this is s small step down in grade to a 0-65 class 6. There's not a huge amount of pace so if he can break on terms might be able to adopt a reasonable position with pieces on 1st time and Taryn taking 5lb off. He's forecast to be 12s so if he was somewhere near double figures I'd take a very small chance on him.



Valsharah I'll be keeping my eye on for the same reason as last time out.



Kempton



3.07 Rory rocket 10s on recent form has no chance, and last time out over cd in a class 4 finished out with the washing.


He has shown ability on numerous occasions in class 4s and 5s off higher marks than tomorrow and I'm sure there's a race in him at some point. This drop to a class 6 for the first time and in a good draw could reveal more but I would only be interested in him if he was strong before the off because these connections as we all know are clever as when their cash is on. If he's not strong at the off he will likely fall out the back of the TV. I always say with these connections I'd rather be on at a  shorter price at the off knowing they're trying than a big price knowing they're not trying.



Early release has a good record here over cd, 2 runs a win and a place and with Billy booked from a good draw for one who should go forward would have a small chance at a potential price, he's forecast to be 25s but I doubt that so if he was double figures I might play very small as its boom or bust that he bounces back to form here but once again value is what it's all about.


He finished 3rd this time last year over cd in a class 5 so I can't imagine they've booked Billy to not try atleast in this class 6 from a good draw. I'd definitely like to see Billy go prominent. Small play at big prices.



4.07 media shooter 16s is forecast to be the rank outsider and with good reason, but I know these owners like to land a tilt and wouldn't be keeping him in training if there was no chance of him showing up at some point. He's into a class 5 for the first time he's back to 7f which is his most recent winning distance and the pieces are back on which he had on for his most recent win aswel having had them left off for his last 4 runs. He's had nearly 5 weeks off and if he was well backed near the off he's another I'd be interested in for a shrewd outfit. Once again he's only interesting if he's strong. If you want to risk him at a huge price very small that's upto you.



5.10 moyowasi 5/2, I put up in the analysis 5 weeks ago and he was staying on late over the 7f again. Billy on and the extra furlong with a nice long straight, having been dropped a pound and into a 0-55 will all help but I'm not telling anyone anything they don't already know as its 5/2 favourite.


 
 
 

Recent Posts

See All
Carlisle analysis for 8th of June.

Tomorrow's racing is not of any excitement to us, but we try to give out something of interest every day even if it's something we will only watch. And tomorrow we will only be watching.

 
 
 

Comments


bottom of page