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Lingfield analysis for 27th Feb and bonus race at Wolverhampton only on the website. Be lucky everyone 👌 👍

Lingfield


1.42 bownder, if he's 8s or bigger would be interesting jes been running well in class 5s, apart from last time out when the jockey rode the horse 4 wide all the way round he gad absolutely no chance and it was over 12f which I feel has always just stretched him. Last time he won was on December the 2nd in a class 6 over this cd and we managed to get him in for us. He's back in a class 6 here and off an identical mark of 65 having been dropped another pound for one of the worst rides you could see. Prior to that ran well in 3rd in a class 5 over this cd behind Kings hand and Tommy's promise, both were at the top of their game. Tommy's had won 4 on the spin and might win again next time and Kings hand looks to be improving. All in all at a decent price I'd play small from a decent draw and the drop in grade should suit back at his favourite cd.



2.42 lady manzor, won the all-weather vase for filles last year on finals day from draw 14, she was 3 wide for the first 2 furlongs and then managed to adopt a position in mid field in Lane 2. She showed a decent turn of foot to win that day and has another race in her especially at this track.  Last time out over cd there was no pace and she's definitely best with a pace to aim at which she should get in a 14 runner handicap here. That said she is price sensitive as she is a hostage to fortune because she will be held up for a late run.


If she's around the 8s or double figures I'd play small.



Bridgets view I will be watching closely in the market as the wiley Stuart Williams has taken over the training of her. She absolutely bolted up in December at Southwell beating Stateira 4 and a quarter lengths. Stateira then went and won a 23k class 2 at Newcastle by 4 lengths herself giving the form some substance.


Bridgets next run was a bit sour and I'd be inclined to think it was and off day. And ONLY if she's heavily punted and strong near the off, she would be interesting with Jason Hart on board.



3.45 Duraji is interesting seeing as Irish trainer dermot weld sends him over to Lingfield to run for the first time on the all-weather with head gear on 1st time. Dermot doesn't tend to aimlessly send horse over to the UK if he doesn't think his charge has got a fair chance. The owners do have most of their horses over here in the uk though so they might be hoping they can get a runner on all-weather finals day if he wins here. Durajis last 2 runs were on heavy and soft ground in a group 3 and a listed race so he's clearly thought a bit of. His best run last year was at Goodwood in a class 2 50k handicap beaten 2.5 lengths in 4th staying on over 14f. He's an ew price at 15/2.



Roaring legend hacked up in this race last year and gave notice he's in form last time out in 2nd after 147 days off. He was 8lb lower last year so he needs to pull out a bit more but he's favourite for a reason and with Jason Hart on board he'll be a major player. I do think his prominent running style round here over the 2 miles could possibly see him get away from them round the bend like last year and make him hard to peg back.



4.53 Apiarist has the assistance of up coming apprentice jack Callan who's claiming 5lb, has an OK draw to stalk the pace and I feel this is a slightly weaker event than his last run out at Newcastle.


Jack's claim puts him 2lb below his last winning mark and His run last April behind storm star in the all-weather championship mile in 3rd was very good in the context of this race and he might just take a step forward after his latest run having had a 104 day break prior. He's 9/2 in places so his chance of being in the frame are fairly good so even ew is possible if that's how you like to play.



Wolverhampton


5.13 book of life, with Ryan kavanagh claiming 5lb from a good draw back up to a mile from a 3lb lower mark than his last win at wolves over 9.5f. 7f was too short last time out but his previous race over 8f at Newcastle in a class 5 behind eligible is good in the context of this race, he's back at his favourite cd and Ryan kavanaghs claim makes him well handicapped and is effectively 8lb below his last winning mark. I'd like to see Ryan close up in behind the front couple and pounce down the straight.


He's forecast to be 7s but if he was 5s or bigger early that would be fair.



Rainwater would be my idea of a danger, not badly handicapped, could possibly get an easyish lead and back up to the mile will suit at a track he's won at before, but ultimately I like book of life if he's a fair price.

 
 
 

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