Newcastle analysis for 12th of March 👍🏇

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Newcastle

4.28 Alpine Sierra, first time in a classified tomorrow, he ran in two handicaps over 8f most recently and I think these days he prefers the 10f as shown back in January in his 2 10f runs here in 0-60 races finishing 3rd and 4th which in the context of this race is good. He's a cd winner and has dropped in the weights a fair bit in the last year and this is his easiest assignment to date.

The one thing I would say is the goldie yard has been badly out of form so unless he was a decent price like 8/1 which he's not forecast to be, I wouldn't play under that price and it would be small until you could be confident the yard were back in form. All about value once again.

5.08 jodhpur blue, last time out he ran in second at Kempton where we had the 9/1 winner in Naval tribute. He's been left on his current mark of 70 after that run and there's no pesky first time handicappers in here stepping up in trip like the Naval was the last time. Andy and Max both saw him in the parade last time out as well and told me he was a stand out in the parade and they played him. I guess it is a bit of concerning that he's been finishing 2nd 3 times in the last 4 runs and a 3rd but I do think this step up to 12f here will suit.

Golspie, would be my idea of the main  danger. He ran well in second over this cd last time out behind ludos landing in a 0-75 so back into a 0-70 and Dropped another pound he has a small chance as he's now a pound below his good 2nd place both here and at Southwell back in January where he was a bit unlucky not to grab the winner.

7.15 grant Wood, we managed to get first time up this year for him at 16s-4s after 141 days off and he might just step forward again with just a 2lb penalty. There appears to be a good pace to aim at and this time last year he was placing off marks of 85 so off 76 still has some mileage in his handicap mark. I thought he was just running on empty in the final strides and hopefully he will strip a bit fitter tomorrow and finish off well. If he's around the 5/1  mark he'd be worth a small play.

8.15 phoenix of dreams, is dropped into a class 6 for the first time and having ran a decent race in 3rd behind packet of biscuits who's won convincingly since he might have a fair chance. He's never won over 7f before but was staying on well last time at Southwell over the 7f as if it suited him. Jason Hart is on board who rode Pallas Lord to victory last time out and I know hes stable jockey to the quins so probably wouldn't have had the choice to ride Pallas but I think he might have chosen phoenix anyway as there's a chance this class drop will help him and has ran well at this track as well. If he was around the 8/1 forecast that wouldn't be too bad even ew.