Southwell analysis 👌

Southwell

3.50 moyowasi 4-9/2 for me looks like the step up to a mile will suit this lightly raced gelding, he seems to like the track with a win and a fast finishing 5th with the cheek pieces on first time, they're retained for this step up in trip and having been kindly dropped a pound by the handicapper and back into a 0-55 if he was a round the 5s mark you'd be hopeful he can hit the frame at the very least.

Amarachi 4 has run 2 decent races in 2nd over the cd recently and with luke Morris retaining the ride you would imagine must be in the mix aswel. Her run behind marry the night in a 0-60 last time out only beaten half a length was a fair andvthe slight drop in grade gives her a fair chance.

I just think theres a possibility of a bit more improvement for moyowasi to come over the trip.

6.00 havachoc 2-9/4 routed a classified race at wolves over 12f and will rightly be favourite but 5lb up in a handicap at a different track I wouldn't want the forecast

2s.

Night bear 7/2 is a well handicapped cd winner who ran a good race in second last time out only beaten a head by the short priced favourite, he has an obvious chance with 2lb extra on his back after that run.

In behind night bear was Broadstone 10-12 who didn't get the best of runs through in the final half furlong having come from the back of the field, its possible that the extra furlong might help and his mark has been left alone so is 2lb better of with night bear. Now it's no certainty that he can turn the form around but his small yard will hopefully mean his price Drifts to a big price in which it could be worth a small play. He's forecast to be 8s but I'd want more like 16s or 20s so I'd wait and see if he Drifts.

6.30 free pics 5-4 only win to date came on the all-weather at Newcastle in a 0-65 by 2 and a quarter lengths and only received a 3lb penalty and that would seem lenient.

She's not been going well over the jumps the last twice so after a 87 day break and back on all-weather if she was a reasonable price say the forecast 6s she might be worth a small chance.

7.30 valsharah 8-5-15/2 should be kept an eye on in the market with the new connections, me Andy and Max have all said he's a nice horse in the parade and looks like a horse that should be better than his current mark. The fact the horse watchers have bought him as punting owners I'd suggest watching the market before the off. These guys won't have online accounts so early money for it I don't think will necessarily be significant, its the late money that will count.

King David 6 looks like the kitchen sink is being thrown at him with first time tongue tie and blinkers on and into a class 6 for the first time, he likes it here and if the new contraptions work he'd have a good chance especially on his run behind eligible on the 28th of December only beaten a length and a quarter.

Overall its an interesting race, I'll be keeping a sharp eye on the late Market.

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